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Potential Drops









Synthetic Rust Case
Open the Synthetic Rust Case on RustCases.gg. Below are the full contents with exact, provably-fair drop rates, current skin values, and the case's expected value, with no hidden odds. You can open it solo or add it to a case battle.
Synthetic Rust Case Odds & Drop Rates
| Item | Wear | Drop chance | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PVC Hat | - | 0.50% | 134.19 |
| Polymer MP5 | - | 2.00% | 61.98 |
| Polymer SAP | - | 2.50% | 42.62 |
| Polymer SMG | - | 4.00% | 27.24 |
| Polymer Pump Shotgun | - | 6.00% | 21.63 |
| Polymer LR300 | - | 7.25% | 17.66 |
| Rubber Hazard Mat | - | 14.00% | 10.13 |
| Polymer BAR | - | 15.00% | 9.28 |
| Carbon Elite | - | 48.75% | 3.37 |
Is the Synthetic Rust Case Worth Opening?
The Synthetic Rust Case has an expected value of about 11.10 gems against its 11.99 gem open price. That figure is the long-run average. Individual openings are high-variance, which is the whole point. The top prize is PVC Hat at roughly 134.19 gems. Every drop is provably fair, and the rates on this page are the ticket ranges each roll is mapped to.
Open the Synthetic Rust Case in a Battle
Prefer competition? Add the Synthetic Rust Case to a Rust case battle and open the same case at the same time as other players: the highest total value takes the entire pot. You can go 1v1, 2v2, 3v3, or free-for-all.
Related cases
Other RustCases cases at a similar price to the Synthetic Rust Case.
- Tea Time11.99 gems
- Knock Knock12.02 gems
- Rug Pull11.59 gems
- Highlander11.51 gems
- Desert Storm11.15 gems
- Lost Temple12.96 gems
Synthetic Rust Case FAQ
What is the best item in the Synthetic Rust Case?
The top prize is PVC Hat, worth about 134.19 gems, with a 0.50% drop chance.
What are the drop rates for the Synthetic Rust Case?
Every item's exact drop rate is published in the table above. The combined chance of unboxing a knife or glove is 0.00%.
Is the Synthetic Rust Case worth opening?
Its expected value is about 11.10 gems against a 11.99 gem open price. Like every case it is high-variance, and the published odds let you decide for yourself.
Can I open the Synthetic Rust Case in a case battle?
Yes. Add the Synthetic Rust Case to a case battle and open it head-to-head against other players: the highest total value wins the whole pot.
Related: All Rust cases · Rust case battles · Provably fair


