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Potential Drops










Sovereign Rust Case
Open the Sovereign Rust Case on RustCases.gg. Below are the full contents with exact, provably-fair drop rates, current skin values, and the case's expected value, with no hidden odds. You can open it solo or add it to a case battle.
Sovereign Rust Case Odds & Drop Rates
| Item | Wear | Drop chance | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Metal Tree Door | - | 0.25% | 8,999.63 |
| Punishment Mask | - | 1.75% | 2,865.69 |
| Big Grin | - | 6.00% | 1,275.00 |
| Horror Bag | - | 7.00% | 1,236.63 |
| Creepy Clown Bandana | - | 10.75% | 947.93 |
| Alien Relic SMG | - | 11.00% | 943.57 |
| Zipper Face | - | 12.25% | 897.18 |
| No Mercy Revolver - E Class | - | 15.25% | 776.26 |
| Freshly Dug Grave | - | 17.00% | 729.69 |
| Fire jacket | - | 18.75% | 695.35 |
Is the Sovereign Rust Case Worth Opening?
The Sovereign Rust Case has an expected value of about 924.12 gems against its 998.05 gem open price. That figure is the long-run average. Individual openings are high-variance, which is the whole point. The top prize is Metal Tree Door at roughly 8,999.63 gems. Every drop is provably fair, and the rates on this page are the ticket ranges each roll is mapped to.
Open the Sovereign Rust Case in a Battle
Prefer competition? Add the Sovereign Rust Case to a Rust case battle and open the same case at the same time as other players: the highest total value takes the entire pot. You can go 1v1, 2v2, 3v3, or free-for-all.
Related cases
Other RustCases cases at a similar price to the Sovereign Rust Case.
- Kingmaker945.63 gems
- Night Terror897.98 gems
- Masquerade548.91 gems
- Big Top418.92 gems
- Gatekeeper379.08 gems
- Silent Night320.48 gems
Sovereign Rust Case FAQ
What is the best item in the Sovereign Rust Case?
The top prize is Metal Tree Door, worth about 8,999.63 gems, with a 0.25% drop chance.
What are the drop rates for the Sovereign Rust Case?
Every item's exact drop rate is published in the table above. The combined chance of unboxing a knife or glove is 0.00%.
Is the Sovereign Rust Case worth opening?
Its expected value is about 924.12 gems against a 998.05 gem open price. Like every case it is high-variance, and the published odds let you decide for yourself.
Can I open the Sovereign Rust Case in a case battle?
Yes. Add the Sovereign Rust Case to a case battle and open it head-to-head against other players: the highest total value wins the whole pot.
Related: All Rust cases · Rust case battles · Provably fair


