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Potential Drops







Pony Express Rust Case
Open the Pony Express Rust Case on RustCases.gg. Below are the full contents with exact, provably-fair drop rates, current skin values, and the case's expected value, with no hidden odds. You can open it solo or add it to a case battle.
Pony Express Rust Case Odds & Drop Rates
| Item | Wear | Drop chance | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow Pony AR | - | 3.75% | 6.93 |
| Rainbow Pony M249 | - | 3.75% | 6.54 |
| Rainbow Pony Garage Door | - | 4.00% | 5.80 |
| Rainbow Pony Mask | - | 5.00% | 4.74 |
| Rainbow AR | - | 22.25% | 0.91 |
| Rainbow Furnace | - | 27.75% | 0.73 |
| Rainbow Door | - | 33.50% | 0.72 |
Is the Pony Express Rust Case Worth Opening?
The Pony Express Rust Case has an expected value of about 1.62 gems against its 1.76 gem open price. That figure is the long-run average. Individual openings are high-variance, which is the whole point. The top prize is Rainbow Pony AR at roughly 6.93 gems. Every drop is provably fair, and the rates on this page are the ticket ranges each roll is mapped to.
Open the Pony Express Rust Case in a Battle
Prefer competition? Add the Pony Express Rust Case to a Rust case battle and open the same case at the same time as other players: the highest total value takes the entire pot. You can go 1v1, 2v2, 3v3, or free-for-all.
Related cases
Other RustCases cases at a similar price to the Pony Express Rust Case.
- Popstar1.71 gems
- Dungeon Crawler1.71 gems
- Lumberjack1.71 gems
- Croc Hunter1.68 gems
- Ultramarine1.68 gems
- Bayou1.68 gems
Pony Express Rust Case FAQ
What is the best item in the Pony Express Rust Case?
The top prize is Rainbow Pony AR, worth about 6.93 gems, with a 3.75% drop chance.
What are the drop rates for the Pony Express Rust Case?
Every item's exact drop rate is published in the table above. The combined chance of unboxing a knife or glove is 0.00%.
Is the Pony Express Rust Case worth opening?
Its expected value is about 1.62 gems against a 1.76 gem open price. Like every case it is high-variance, and the published odds let you decide for yourself.
Can I open the Pony Express Rust Case in a case battle?
Yes. Add the Pony Express Rust Case to a case battle and open it head-to-head against other players: the highest total value wins the whole pot.
Related: All Rust cases · Rust case battles · Provably fair


