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Potential Drops












Heat Seeker Rust Case
Open the Heat Seeker Rust Case on RustCases.gg. Below are the full contents with exact, provably-fair drop rates, current skin values, and the case's expected value, with no hidden odds. You can open it solo or add it to a case battle.
Heat Seeker Rust Case Odds & Drop Rates
| Item | Wear | Drop chance | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heat Seeker Thompson | - | 2.50% | 13.48 |
| Heat Seeker Revolver | - | 2.50% | 9.91 |
| Heat Seeker SAP | - | 5.00% | 6.93 |
| Heat Seeker Mp5 | - | 5.00% | 5.82 |
| Heat Seeker SAR | - | 5.00% | 5.15 |
| Heat Seeker AR | - | 5.00% | 4.08 |
| Heat Seeker LR | - | 5.00% | 3.69 |
| Heat Seeker Python | - | 5.00% | 3.59 |
| Heat Seeker DBS | - | 5.00% | 2.70 |
| Heat Seeker Pump Shotgun | - | 15.00% | 2.57 |
| Heat Seeker Waterpipe Shotgun | - | 20.00% | 2.28 |
| Heat Seeker SKS | - | 25.00% | 1.04 |
Is the Heat Seeker Rust Case Worth Opening?
The Heat Seeker Rust Case has an expected value of about 3.28 gems against its 3.50 gem open price. That figure is the long-run average. Individual openings are high-variance, which is the whole point. The top prize is Heat Seeker Thompson at roughly 13.48 gems. Every drop is provably fair, and the rates on this page are the ticket ranges each roll is mapped to.
Open the Heat Seeker Rust Case in a Battle
Prefer competition? Add the Heat Seeker Rust Case to a Rust case battle and open the same case at the same time as other players: the highest total value takes the entire pot. You can go 1v1, 2v2, 3v3, or free-for-all.
Related cases
Other RustCases cases at a similar price to the Heat Seeker Rust Case.
- Pixel Perfect3.59 gems
- Eoka Case3.39 gems
- Recruit3.70 gems
- Lost Temple3.75 gems
- Saboteur3.77 gems
- Pirate's Bounty3.80 gems
Heat Seeker Rust Case FAQ
What is the best item in the Heat Seeker Rust Case?
The top prize is Heat Seeker Thompson, worth about 13.48 gems, with a 2.50% drop chance.
What are the drop rates for the Heat Seeker Rust Case?
Every item's exact drop rate is published in the table above. The combined chance of unboxing a knife or glove is 0.00%.
Is the Heat Seeker Rust Case worth opening?
Its expected value is about 3.28 gems against a 3.50 gem open price. Like every case it is high-variance, and the published odds let you decide for yourself.
Can I open the Heat Seeker Rust Case in a case battle?
Yes. Add the Heat Seeker Rust Case to a case battle and open it head-to-head against other players: the highest total value wins the whole pot.
Related: All Rust cases · Rust case battles · Provably fair

