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Potential Drops








Forge Rust Case
Open the Forge Rust Case on RustCases.gg. Below are the full contents with exact, provably-fair drop rates, current skin values, and the case's expected value, with no hidden odds. You can open it solo or add it to a case battle.
Forge Rust Case Odds & Drop Rates
| Item | Wear | Drop chance | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tempered Mp5 | - | 5.00% | 595.33 |
| Military Camo MP5 | - | 11.25% | 279.45 |
| Tempered Mask | - | 8.25% | 246.49 |
| Hot-tempered Longsword | - | 8.50% | 228.82 |
| Digital Camo MP5 | - | 9.00% | 164.15 |
| Urban Afterburn Pump Shotgun | - | 12.75% | 34.48 |
| Scorched Hammer | - | 15.25% | 19.59 |
| Hot-tempered Revolver | - | 15.50% | 17.73 |
| Tempered AK47 | - | 14.50% | 14.55 |
Is the Forge Rust Case Worth Opening?
The Forge Rust Case has an expected value of about 128.00 gems against its 138.25 gem open price. That figure is the long-run average. Individual openings are high-variance, which is the whole point. The top prize is Tempered Mp5 at roughly 595.33 gems. Every drop is provably fair, and the rates on this page are the ticket ranges each roll is mapped to.
Open the Forge Rust Case in a Battle
Prefer competition? Add the Forge Rust Case to a Rust case battle and open the same case at the same time as other players: the highest total value takes the entire pot. You can go 1v1, 2v2, 3v3, or free-for-all.
Related cases
Other RustCases cases at a similar price to the Forge Rust Case.
- Stitches139.74 gems
- Sideshow129.58 gems
- Witching Hour149.66 gems
- Graverobber125.15 gems
- Iron Curtain109.64 gems
- Eruption109.20 gems
Forge Rust Case FAQ
What is the best item in the Forge Rust Case?
The top prize is Tempered Mp5, worth about 595.33 gems, with a 5.00% drop chance.
What are the drop rates for the Forge Rust Case?
Every item's exact drop rate is published in the table above. The combined chance of unboxing a knife or glove is 0.00%.
Is the Forge Rust Case worth opening?
Its expected value is about 128.00 gems against a 138.25 gem open price. Like every case it is high-variance, and the published odds let you decide for yourself.
Can I open the Forge Rust Case in a case battle?
Yes. Add the Forge Rust Case to a case battle and open it head-to-head against other players: the highest total value wins the whole pot.
Related: All Rust cases · Rust case battles · Provably fair


